Biomathematics and Statistics

Papers in international journals 2017

Pedro Inácio, Gomes, João J., Marja Airaksinen, Afonso Cavaco (2017). Exploring sociodemographic and economic factors that promote adverse drug reactions reporting by patients. Health Policy. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0168851017302932?via%3Dihub

A. Madzvamuse, A. Gerisch, R. Barreira. (2017). Cross-diffusion in reaction-diffusion models: analysis, numerics and applications. Progress in Industrial Mathematics at ECMI 2016, Springer Verlag. http://sro.sussex.ac.uk/66016/

Papers in international journals 2015-16

Anotida Madzvamuse, H.S. Ndakwo, Raquel Barreira. (2016). Stability analysis of reaction-diffusion models on evolving domains: the effects of cross-diffusion. Dynamical Systems. 36 (4), 2133-2170.

Anotida Madzvamuse, H.S. Ndakwo, Raquel Barreira. (2015). Cross-diffusion-driven instability for reaction-diffusion systems: analysis and simulations. Journal of mathematical biology 70 (4), 709-743.

Maíra Aguiar, Nico Stollenwerk & Scott B. Halstead. (2016). The risks behind DengVaxia recommendation. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. In Press.

Scott B. Halstead & Maíra Aguiar. (2016). Caveat Emptor: Dengue vaccine and the 2016 Olympics. The Lancet. In Press

Scott B. Halstead & Maíra Aguiar. (2016). Dengue Vaccines: are they safe for Travelers? Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease. In Press.

Luís Mateus, Peyman Ghaffari, Urszula Skwara, Filipe Rocha, Ma´ıra Aguiar, Davide Masoero, Nico Stollenwerk (2016). Semiclassical approximations of stochastic epidemiological processes towards parameter estimation using as prime example the SIS system with import. Ecological Complexity. In Press.

Nico Stollenwerk, Pablo Fuentes Sommer, Bob W. Kooi, Luis Mateus, Peyman Ghaffari & Maíra Aguiar. (2016). Hopf and torus bifurcations, torus destruction and chaos in population biology. Ecological Complexity. In Press.

Maíra Aguiar (2015). Scaling up complexity in host-pathogens interaction models Comment on “Coupled disease-behavior dynamics on complex networks: A review ” by Z. Wang et al. Physics of Life Reviews, 15, 41–2.

Maíra Aguiar, Giovanini Coelho, Filipe Rocha, Luis Mateus, Jos´e Eduardo Marques Pessanha & Nico Stollenwerk (2015). Dengue transmission during the 2014 FIFA World Cup in Brazil. The Lancet Infectious Diseases; 7, 765–766.

Stollenwerk, N., Aguiar, M., Mateus, L., Rocha, F., Skwara, U., & Ghaffari, P. (2015). Prediction and predictability in population biology: noise and chaos. Math. Model. Nat. Phenom., 10, 141–164.

F. Rocha, U. Skwara, M. Aguiar and N. Stollenwerk (2015). Understanding dengue fever dynamics: a study of seasonality in vector borne disease models. International Journal of Computer Mathematics.  93, (8), 1405-1422.

Maíra Aguiar, Filipe Rocha, José Eduardo Marques Pessanha, Luis Mateus & Nico Stollenwerk (2015). Carnival or football, is there a real risk for acquiring dengue fever in Brazil during holidays seasons? Nature Scientific Reports , 5, 8462; DOI:10.1038/srep0846.

Patrícia Antunes L, Gomes JJ, Cavaco AM. How pharmacist–patient communication determines pharmacy loyalty? Modeling relevant factors. Research in Social and Administrative Pharmacy. 2015;11(0):560-70. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25577547.

Cusack C, Mouriño H, Moita MT, Silke J. Modelling Pseudo-nitzschia events off southwest Ireland. Journal of Sea Research. 2015;105:30-41. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1385110115300137.

Dario P, Mouriño H, Oliveira AR, Lucas I, Ribeiro T, Porto MJ, et al. Assessment of IrisPlex-based multiplex for eye and skin color prediction with application to a Portuguese population. International Journal of Legal Medicine. 2015;129(6):1191-200. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00414-015-1248-5.

Magalhães T, Lopes S, Gomes JJ, Seixo F. The Length of Hospital Stay in Acute Myocardial Infarction: A Predictive Model with Laboratory and Administrative Data. In: Rocha A, Correia AM, Costanzo S, Reis LP, editors. New Contributions in Information Systems and Technologies. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing. 353: Springer International Publishing; 2015. p. 257-64. http://www.springer.com/gp/book/9783319164854

Artigos em actas de conferência com referee (2015-16)

Raquel Filipe, Nico Stollenwerk, Luís Mateus, Peyman Ghaffari, Scott Halstead and Maíra Aguiar. Effective infection rate in SIR-type models from models with symptomatic and asymptomatic infection. (2016). Proceedings of the 16th International Conference on Mathematical Methods in Science and Engineering, CMMSE, pp 1060-1072, ISBN978-84-617-2230-3 edited by Jesus V.A. et al., Cadiz, Spain.

Pablo Fuentes Sommer, Nico Stollenwerk, Bob Kooi, Luís Mateus, Peyman Ghaffari and Maíra Aguiar. Lyapunov spectra for torus bifurcations and ways to deterministic chaos in population biology. (2016). Proceedings of the 16th International Conference on Mathematical Methods in Science and Engineering, CMMSE, pp 1060-1072, ISBN978-84-617-2230-3 edited by Jesus V.A. et al., Cadiz, Spain.

Peyman Ghaffari, Karunia Putra Wijaya, Maíra Aguiar, Luís Mateus, Thomas Gotz and Nico Stollenwerk. (2016). Proceedings of the 16th International Conference on Mathematical Methods in Science and Engineering, CMMSE, pp 1060-1072, ISBN978-84-617-2230-3 edited by Jesus V.A. et al., Cadiz, Spain.

Nico Stollenwerk, Pablo Fuentes Sommer, Luis Mateus, Bob Kooi and Maíra Aguiar (2015). Stochastic Hopf and torus bifurcations in population biology. Accepted to be published at AIP Conference Proceedings: Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics - ICNAAM 2015

Nico Stollenwerk, Thomas Gotz, Luis Mateus, Putra Wijaya, David Willems, Urszula Skwara, Ramona Marguta, Peyman Ghaffari,and Maíra Aguiar. (2015). Modelling Spatial Connectivity in Epidemiological Systems, Dengue Fever in Thailand on Networks from Radiation Models. Accepted to be published at AIP Conference Proceedings: Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics - ICNAAM 2015

Maíra Aguiar, Luis Mateus and Nico Stollenwerk. (2015). The currently best estimate for worldwide dengue vaccine efficacy. Accepted to be published at AIP Conference Proceedings: Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics - ICNAAM 2015

Maíra Aguiar, Roberto Cavoretto, Ezio Venturino and Nico Stollenwerk. (2015). Mathematical Models and Numerical Methods in Life Sciences. Accepted to be published at AIP Conference Proceedings: Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics - ICNAAM 2015

Nico Stollenwerk, Urszula Skwara, Lídia Aceto, Éric Daudé, Ramona Marguta, Luis Mateus, Peyman Ghaffari, Andrea Parisi and Ma´ıra Aguiar. (2015). Power law jumps and power law waiting times, fractional calculus and human mobility in epidemiological systems. Proceedings of the 15th International Conference on Mathematical Methods in Science and Engineering, CMMSE, pp 1060-1072, ISBN978-84-617-2230-3 edited by Jesus V.A. et al., Cadiz, Spain.

Pablo Fuentes Sommer, Luis Mateus, Bob W. Kooi, Ma´ıra Aguiar and Nico Stollemwerk. (2015). Hopf and torus bifurcations in stochastic systems in mathematical population biology. Proceedings of the 15th International Conference on Mathematical Methods in Science and Engineering, CMMSE, pp 543-555, ISBN978-84-617-2230-3 edited by Jesus V.A. et al., Cadiz, Spain.

Luis Mateus, Maira Aguiar and Nico Stollenwerk. (2015). Bayesian estimation of vaccine efficacy. (2015). Proceedings of the 15th International Conference on Mathematical Methods in Science and Engineering, CMMSE, pp 794-802, ISBN 978-84-617-2230-3 edited by Jesus V.A. et al., Cadiz, Spain.

Books 2015-16

DSABNS Book of Abstracts. (2016). Seventh Dynamical Systems Applied to Biology and Natural Sciences: DSABNS 2016 Book of Abstracts. Conference Proceedings, ISBN 978-989-98750-2-9, Edited by Maíra Aguiar, Portugal.

DSABNS Book of Abstracts. (2015). Sixth Dynamical Systems Applied to Biology and Natural Sciences: DSABNS 2016 Book of Abstracts. Conference Proceedings, ISBN 978-989-98750-1-2, Edited by Maíra Aguiar, Portugal.

Papers in international journals 2013-14

Aguiar, M., Paul, R., Sakuntabhai, A. Stollenwerk, N. (2014), Are we modeling the correct data set? Minimizing false predictions for dengue fever in Thailand, Epidemiology and Infection, 142, 2447—2459
http://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayJournal?jid=hyg

Kooi, W.B., Aguiar, M., Stollenwerk, N. (2014), Analysis of an asymmetric two-strain dengue model, Mathematical Biosciences 248} (2014) 128--139.
http://www.journals.elsevier.com/mathematical-biosciences/

Rocha, F., Mateus, L., Skwara, U., Aguiar, M., Stollenwerk, N. (2015), Understanding dengue fever dynamics: a study of seasonality in vector borne disease models,
International Journal of Computer Mathematics.
http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00207160.2015.1050961.

Stollenwerk, N., Mateus, L., Rocha, F., Ghaffari, P., Aguiar, M.  (2015). Prediction and predictability in population biology: Noise and chaos, Math. Model. Nat. Phenom. 10, 141--164. DOI: 10.1051/mmnp/201510210
http://www.mmnpjournal.org/articles/mmnp/abs/2015/02/mmnp201510p141/mmnp201510p141.html

Aguiar, M., Rocha, F., Pessanha, E., Mateus, L., Stollenwerk, N. (2015) Carnival or football, is there a real risk for acquiring dengue fever in Brazil during holiday seasons? Nature Sci. Rep. 5, 8462; DOI:10.1038/srep08462 (2015).
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep08462

P. Afonso, M. R. Ramos, S. Saraiva, C. A. Moreira, M.L. Figueira (2014) Assessing the relation between career satisfaction in psychiatry with lifelong learning and scientific activity. Psychiatry Research 217, 210–214. http://www.psy-journal.com/article/S0165-1781(14)00271-6/abstract 

Gonçalves, A.M.; Costa, Marco. Predicting seasonal and hydro-meteorological impact in environmental variables modelling via Kalman filtering. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, v. 27, n. 5, p. 1021-1038, 2013.http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00477-012-0640-7

Dias, G.P.; Costa, Marco. Significant socio-economic factors for local e-government development in Portugal. Electronic Government, an International Journal, v. 10, n. 3/4, p. 284-284, 2013.http://dx.doi.org/10.1504/EG.2013.058785

Antunes, Liliana P., Gomes, João J., Cavaco, Afonso M.. How pharmacist-patient communication determines pharmacy loyalty? Modeling relevant factors. Research in Social and Administrative Pharmacy. (2014)  http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.sapharm.2014.11.003.

Gomes, João J., Barão, Isabel, & Oliveira, Tiago. Is It Always Necessary To Take Sample Selection Into Account? Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation. 43(10) 2264-2274. DOI:10.1080/03610918.2012.762384. (2014)http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/03610918.2012.762384#.UuZzxhD...

Rossi, R., Amato, M., Bitella, G., Gomes, João J., Bochicchio, R., & Baronti, S.. Electrical resistivity tomography to detect the effects of tillage in a soil with a variable rock fragments content. European Journal of Soil Science.  64 (2), 239–248. DOI: 10.1111/ejss.12024. (2013)http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ejss.12024/abstract

Mouriño, H., Barão, M. I. (2013), Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the VAR(1) Model Parameters with Missing Observations, Mathematical Problems in Engineering, vol. 2013, Article ID 848120, 13 pages, 2013.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/848120.
http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2013/848120/

Carolino, E., Barão, M.I. (2013), Robust Methods in Acceptance Sampling Plans, Revstat, 11, 67-82.
http://www.ine.pt/revstat/pdf/rs130104.pdf